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Hedge-strategy objectives are key!

  • If our aim is to mitigate commodity-cost risk, then defending two competing tolerances - tolerance for upside cost outcomes and hedge‑loss outcomes is necessary because risk is bi-directional.
  • Articulating these dual, competing tolerances is the key to a successful program;
  • Hedging a fixed percentage, without monitoring risk conditions is literally non-responsive . . .  A preselected 50% hedge ratio can constrain costs to 50% of upside exposures, but also implies a willingness to accept hedge losses equal to 50% of downside market movements



                                             There is a better way . . .  to be found in the tools of quantitative finance

A detailed description of quantitative finance based hedging methodology is available under the 'Papers' tab.







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